Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 may not help full self-driving

Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 may not help full self-driving and that he doesn’t really know what it’s going to take.

Tens of millions of Tesla automobiles are outfitted with HW3 computer systems.

For the higher a part of the 12 months, we have now been reporting that Tesla can’t obtain its promise of “full self-driving on HW3, and it wants to come back clear about it.

CEO Elon Musk lastly took a primary step in that route throughout the convention name following the discharge of Tesla’s Q3 2024 monetary outcomes.

The CEO stated when requested about Tesla reaching its promised unsupervised self-driving on HW3 automobiles:

We’re not 100% positive. HW4 has a number of occasions the potential of HW3. It’s simpler to get issues to work on HW4 and it takes numerous efforts to squeeze that into HW3. There’s some likelihood that HW3 doesn’t obtain the security degree that permits for unsupervised FSD.

That is the primary time that Musk admitted that HW3 may doubtlessly not help unsupervised self-driving.

Nonetheless, as we beforehand reported, Tesla is presently utilizing each NN nodes on HW3 regardless that one was initially meant as redundancy, which it’s essential obtain Tesla’s promised degree 4-5 autonomy.

This makes it just about not possible for Tesla to ship on its promise as Tesla would wish to maintain growing software program to unravel self-driving, which remains to be removed from engaging in, after which not solely have it on HW3, however optimize it sufficient to suit on a single node.

He stated that Tesla would supply a pc improve if Tesla came upon for positive that it couldn’t ship on HW3:

If that seems to be the case, we are going to improve those that purchased HW3 FSD totally free. And we have now designed the system to be upgradable.

Whereas the system is certainly “upgradable”, as Musk himself beforehand acknowledged, HW3 can’t be upgraded to HW4 because it presently exist.

He stated it wouldn’t make sense, and he’s proper. We all know that HW4 makes use of totally different energy and digital camera harnesses. The entire pc can be a distinct kind issue that will make it arduous to suit the place the HW3 is put in.

Tesla would wish to design a brand new model of the HW4 that may be retrofitted into HW3 vehicles.

Musk insists that HW3 cameras are “succesful”, regardless that HW4 cameras have about 5x extra megapixels, which might level to him seeing the compute energy as the larger challenge.

Electrek’s Take

I believe the extra essential remark is that this:

“We don’t really know the reply to that.”

Once more, I’d enterprise to say that this isn’t true. They know the reply and the reply is not any for the explanations acknowledged above, however even when that was an correct assertion, it ought to be worrying.

Elon admits that he, or Tesla actually, doesn’t know exactly what it takes to get to full autonomy. That ought to be clear to anybody who has been following his feedback on it for years. He stated yearly for the final 5 years that Tesla would resolve autonomy by the top of the 12 months.

Now, he’s assured that this may occur subsequent 12 months, and we must always imagine him. Why?

The information are that Tesla was unsuitable about the truth that HW2.5 is able to self-driving. It was unsuitable about HW3 being able to self-driving, and it is rather seemingly unsuitable about HW4 being able to self-driving. On the very least, it gained’t know for positive till it solves it.

If that’s the case, why is Tesla promoting the “Full Self-Driving” package deal and saying it’s going to occur subsequent 12 months?