Can Mannequin Y refresh reignite Tesla’s progress?

Tesla is about to launch a design refresh for Mannequin Y, its hottest mannequin, and it raises an necessary query: can it reignite Tesla’s progress?

Thankfully, we have now a very good current comparability since Tesla refreshed the Mannequin 3 final yr.

Tesla doesn’t break down gross sales per mannequin so we have now to depend on third-party knowledge to trace Mannequin 3 gross sales.

There are various estimates, however most of them are placing Tesla Mannequin 3 gross sales between 500,000 and 530,000 items in 2023 previous to the refresh.

In 2024, estimates are placing gross sales at roughly the identical.

Tesla supply analyst TroyTeslike has knowledge pointing to 520,000 Mannequin 3 deliveries in 2024. The manufacturing changeover has actually affected gross sales within the first of the yr, but it surely seems to be like manufacturing and deliveries peaked in Q3 as Troy has Mannequin 3 on the identical quantity of about 149,000 items in Q3 and This fall.

As with all different Tesla fashions, the peaked supply volumes had been additionally achieved with report incentives and reductions in This fall.

Can Mannequin Y refresh be completely different?

Mannequin 3 refresh didn’t assist this system that a lot. It’s just about doing the identical supply volumes it was final yr, but it surely doesn’t essentially imply the identical will occur with Mannequin Y.

A number of that is dependent upon the refresh itself.

Earlier right now, we had our greatest take a look at the refresh up to now, and it’s much like the Mannequin 3 refresh within the sense that it options new headlights and taillights, though completely different ones than Mannequin 3, together with mild bars, in addition to a extra aggressive front-end.

The extent of exterior adjustments is much like the Mannequin 3 refresh in phrases that it’s important however not massively completely different both.

Tesla didn’t go into too many particulars about “beneath the hood” adjustments with the Mannequin 3 refresh, but it surely did function an improved suspension, a quieter cabin, and a slight enhance in effectivity.

We are able to count on comparable enhancements to the Mannequin Y.

There have been some adjustments that individuals noticed as detrimental, with the primary one being the brand new steering wheel. Mannequin Y continues to be the one car in Tesla’s lineup that doesn’t have a stalkless steering wheel with drive contact flip alerts and a gear selector on the middle show.

Contemplating all different Tesla autos went that approach, that is anticipated to alter with the Mannequin Y refresh. Personally, I didn’t have any downside adapting to the brand new flip alerts when driving the brand new Mannequin 3 and Cybertruck, however I do admit that the gear selector is annoying.

I do know many Tesla followers refused to get a Tesla car with steering wheel stalks.

Electrek’s Take

Based mostly on the data we have now proper now, I might count on the Mannequin Y refresh to have the same influence because the Mannequin 3 refresh, however we may get a shock.

Clearly, if there have been important enhancements to the vary, that might make a giant distinction, however I might solely count on small incremental enhancements at greatest.

A much bigger shock could be Tesla bringing one thing just like the steer-by-wire and a 48-volt structure from Cybertruck to Mannequin Y. It’s a must to attempt it to understand it, however the steer-by-wire on Cybertruck is tremendous enjoyable.

The design replace seems to be good, however I believed the Mannequin 3 redesign was even sharper, and it didn’t have a lot of an influence. I believe new options or extra effectivity/vary could be probably the most important distinction makers.

What do you suppose? Tell us within the remark part beneath.