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Tuesday, February 4, 2025

There’s lastly some Tesla (TSLA) shareholder momentum to fireplace Elon Musk


There lastly seems to be some Tesla shareholder momentum to fireplace Elon Musk from the corporate after years of considerations being ignored by the board and most shareholders.

Nevertheless, in all probability nothing will occur so long as the inventory (TSLA) is up.

For years, we’ve expressed considerations about Elon Musk steering Tesla away from its mission to speed up the world’s transition to sustainable transport and power.

It has intensified over the past 12 months when Musk threatened Tesla shareholders to breach his fiduciary duties, fired Tesla’s whole charging crew in a kneejerk response, dove headfirst right into a worrying social media dependancy, shared numerous misinformation on social media, and financed politicians who’ve immediately attacked Tesla and whose insurance policies go immediately towards Tesla’s mission.

Most of those could be firable offenses at most firms, however we additionally reported for years that Tesla has large governance points with the board principally being fully underneath Musk’s management regardless of him proudly owning simply 13% of the corporate.

This leaves issues within the arms of shareholders, who’re restricted to voting yearly. Throughout Tesla’s shareholders assembly in June 2024, they made it clear that they’re nonetheless for Musk, with most of them voting according to what the board (aka him) really helpful.

For the reason that inauguration and Musk’s salutes, the blowback, and his response to the blowback, there appears to be extra traction amongst Tesla shareholders to take away.

At the moment, the most well-liked submit on the Tesla Investor Membership on Reddit, one of many largest Tesla shareholder communities, is about eradicating Musk as CEO of Tesla, and there have been just a few of these kind of posts getting traction over the previous couple of weeks.

The submit targeted on Tesla’s lack of latest fashions apart from the Cybertruck within the final 5 years and the shortage of development in supply volumes regardless of the remainder of the EV market rising.

It additionally makes the argument that Musk is just not following his personal guiding rules in the case of work dedication:

Assuming just a few issues…

  1. Musk is sweet at protecting organizations targeted on long run laborious to achieve targets
  2. Musk is sweet at managing engineering groups
  3. Taking Musk’s personal phrases as fact: administration and engineers co-locating with manufacturing and “in individual” on the workplace interactions are internet positives.
  4. Taking Musk’s personal phrases as fact: workers not prepared to do #3 ought to transfer on.

Musk is just not doing #3 and thus is now not performing #1 and #2 at Tesla for the mission. Moreover, together with his personal logic, he’s now within the group of workers that had been let go (#4).

This isn’t a nasty argument contemplating that, along with nearly main six firms and figuring out of the White Home for his new DOGE authorities division, he was caught actually tweeting about non-Tesla stuff in the midst of Tesla’s earnings name final week.

All that whereas, he rages towards workers who work at home as a result of he believes it’s much less productive.

Whereas many Tesla shareholders agreed with the submit, the principle objection was that “the inventory is up, why mess with one thing that works?”

That is certainly an issue for Tesla followers who need to see Musk go. With the board not doing something, it will come all the way down to shareholders voting the board out and forcing a confidence vote on Musk.

Shareholders are afraid that pushing Musk out would lead to him promoting his inventory and triggering a giant correction in Tesla’s inventory.

Contemplating Tesla is at the moment buying and selling at an insane price-to-earnings ratio of 200 and nearer to 400 in the event you take away ZEV credit and the Bitcoin achieve, would that be such a nasty factor if it meant realigning with the mission?

Electrek’s Take

Clearly, I don’t suppose we might see that occur if there have been a confidence vote tomorrow. I feel the inventory would wish to come back all the way down to actuality to inspire shareholders to take motion.

Personally, I feel being afraid of a selloff due to Musk leaving is shortsighted. Tesla’s fundamentals are trying worse by the day, and this quarter ought to be the worst in years.

If Tesla inventory doesn’t crash this quarter, Tesla will doubtless be buying and selling at a 500+ P/E after reporting Q1 2025 earnings. The final time Tesla traded at these ranges, Musk warned Tesla workers that the inventory would get crushed “like a soufflé being smashed by a sledgehammer” if it didn’t present revenue development.

A couple of years later, Tesla is in an excellent worse scenario, contemplating earnings from its fundamental enterprise, automotive, are literally crashing, whereas earnings from self-driving vehicles and robots are realistically nonetheless years away.

It’s true that eradicating Musk would doubtless lead to a short-term inventory crash, however I feel it will be good for Tesla long-term.

First, Musk is undoubtedly negatively affecting Tesla’s gross sales. Eradicating him would doubtless give Tesla some respiration room in the case of demand.

Secondly, Musk has created an enormous legal responsibility for Tesla by constantly promising self-driving functionality on all vehicles produced since 2016. This must be addressed and glued, and Musk is clearly not the individual to do that.

Tesla wants management to realign the corporate with its mission and derisk the self-driving effort. I feel there’s room to nonetheless intention for Musk’s grand imaginative and prescient for Tesla, however with out constantly mendacity and overpromising.

Name me loopy, however I feel the corporate would truthful higher with a reliable full-time CEO as an alternative of an egomaniac wannabe oligarch who constantly lies to shareholders, engages in useful resource tunneling together with his personal competing firm, and is deeply misplaced in one of many worst instances of social media dependancy that I’ve ever seen.

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